StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Goiás v Fortaleza

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Goiás 0–1 Fortaleza

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Goiás (Hemma)

Prognos 36.84%2.71rättvist odds
EV -2.74%
Fördel -1.04%
Kelly -1.67%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.64

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.02%36.84%36.79%39.85%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.432.452.6445.45%41.09%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Fortaleza (Borta)

Prognos 31.60%3.16rättvist odds
EV -2.05%
Fördel -0.661%
Kelly -0.975%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.72%31.56%31.51%32.51%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.922.903.1035.71%34.22%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.56%3.17rättvist odds
EV -2.16%
Fördel -0.698%
Kelly -1.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.11%31.60%31.69%33.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.31%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Goiás (Hemma): 36.84%; Fortaleza (Borta): 31.60%; Oavgjort: 31.56%. För Fortaleza (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.16. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.10, med väntevärdet -2.05%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.94%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:40
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:41
BetUS🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:49
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.35%EV -5.68%E -2.22%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.44%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -6.42%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.04%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 06:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 05:49
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 05:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:09
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 19:09
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 07:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.87%EV -10.11%E -4.14%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 05:59
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 14:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -15.26%E -6.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 06:29
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 06:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -17.84%E -8.00%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 06:45
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%5.4%2026-09-04 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14%10.3%2026-09-04 11:05