Idioma:Español
Goiás v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Goiás (Local)
Predicción 36.84%2.71momio equitativo
EV -2.74%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.02%36.84%36.79%39.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.452.6445.45%41.09%40.82%37.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 31.60%3.16momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.661%
Kelly -0.975%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%31.56%31.51%32.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.922.903.1035.71%34.22%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.56%3.17momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%31.60%31.69%33.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.31%34.48%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Goiás (Local): 36.84%; Fortaleza (Visitante): 31.60%; Empate: 31.56%. Para Fortaleza (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.16. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.10, con un valor esperado de -2.05%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.94%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 07:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-04 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 14:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.35%EV -5.68%E -2.22%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.44%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 08:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -6.42%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.04%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 08:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-03 19:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-02 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-03 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-01 05:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 19:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 05:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 00:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 36.87%EV -10.11%E -4.14%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-03 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 05:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-04 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-03 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -15.26%E -6.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -17.84%E -8.00%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-04 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 06:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96% | 10.0% | 2026-09-04 10:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14% | 10.3% | 2026-09-04 11:05 |