Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás v Fortaleza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 19:00 UTC

Score final : Goiás 0–1 Fortaleza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 36.84%2.71cote équitable
EV -2.74%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.02%36.84%36.79%39.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.452.6445.45%41.09%40.82%37.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortaleza (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.60%3.16cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -0.975%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.72%31.56%31.51%32.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.922.903.1035.71%34.22%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.56%3.17cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%31.60%31.69%33.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.1037.04%34.31%34.48%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Goiás (Local) : 36.84% ; Fortaleza (Visiteur) : 31.60% ; Match nul : 31.56%. Pour Fortaleza (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.16. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.10, pour une espérance de -2.05% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.94%EV -2.74%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.95%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.71%EV -4.21%E -1.62%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.37%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.00%E -3.90%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 07:40
Bovada🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:41
BetUS🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.85%EV -5.32%E -2.07%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.91%EV -11.63%E -4.15%K -6.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 14:49
1xBet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.35%EV -5.68%E -2.22%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.44%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.20%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 08:35
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -6.05%E -2.37%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -14.79%E -5.48%K -8.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.46%EV -6.42%E -2.53%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.50%EV -7.10%E -2.42%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.04%EV -8.79%E -3.04%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 08:25
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -2.16%E -0.698%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-02 19:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 06:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 14:49
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -7.89%E -3.16%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-03 14:40
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.76%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.33%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-01 05:49
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 05:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 19:09
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -9.00%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.98%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 11:25
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 19:09
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 14:49
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.37%E -2.89%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 07:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 00:20
Bet Victor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -9.74%E -3.97%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 36.87%EV -10.11%E -4.14%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.53%K -5.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 19:09
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 05:59
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 11:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -9.42%E -3.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 11:24
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -11.58%E -4.82%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.21%E -4.80%K -7.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-03 14:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -13.42%E -5.71%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -2.05%E -0.661%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -3.74%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 06:45
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -15.26%E -6.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -3.63%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -5.32%E -1.77%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 06:29
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -5.21%E -1.74%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -6.90%E -2.34%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.39%EV -17.11%E -7.60%K -13.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.04%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.56%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 06:45
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -17.84%E -8.00%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -8.47%E -2.92%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-04 06:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -18.95%E -8.61%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -6.79%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -9.11%E -3.16%K -4.84%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-04 06:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%5.4%2026-09-04 11:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.23%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%10.0%2026-09-04 10:20
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.14%10.3%2026-09-04 11:05