Language:English
Goiás v América Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 51.98%1.92fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.24%52.00%51.97%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.761.771.8660.61%56.68%56.50%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 21.44%4.66fair odd
EV +2.92%
Edge +0.609%
Kelly +0.769%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.79%21.31%21.47%23.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.354.404.8025.97%23.01%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.80%26.68%26.56%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.423.403.6032.26%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 51.98%; América Mineiro (Visit): 21.44%; Draw: 26.58%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.66. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.23%E -8.63%K -21.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV +2.92%E +0.609%K +0.769%G +0.022% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -8.52%E -4.84%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +1.85%E +0.390%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +0.779%E +0.166%K +0.211%G +0.002% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.69I 21.32%NM 20.47%EV +0.565%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.91%EV -8.57%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-22 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-22 20:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 20:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.76%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -4.58%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 20:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-22 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -10.60%E -6.16%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 20:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-22 20:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-22 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-22 19:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-22 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:43 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-22 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-22 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.20%E -7.90%K -19.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-22 20:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.08%E -5.82%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-22 20:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-22 20:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 20:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 20:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 20:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-22 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -17.45%E -4.53%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -17.45%E -4.53%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-22 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 0.9% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40% | 2.4% | 2026-03-22 20:55 |