Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás v América Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-22 21:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 51.98%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.24%52.00%51.97%54.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.761.771.8660.61%56.68%56.50%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

América Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.44%4.66cote équitable
EV +2.92%
Avantage +0.609%
Kelly +0.769%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.79%21.31%21.47%23.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.354.404.8025.97%23.01%22.73%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV -4.32%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%26.68%26.56%27.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.403.6032.26%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Goiás (Local) : 51.98% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 21.44% ; Match nul : 26.58%. Pour América Mineiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.66. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.80, soit une espérance positive de +2.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.23%E -8.63%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV +2.92%E +0.609%K +0.769%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 20:50
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -8.52%E -4.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +1.85%E +0.390%K +0.494%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:54
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +0.779%E +0.166%K +0.211%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.47%EV +0.565%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.91%EV -8.57%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 20:45
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:24
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:25
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 20:24
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 20:25
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.76%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -4.58%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:45
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 20:25
TABtouch🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -10.60%E -6.16%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 20:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 20:24
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 20:24
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:24
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 20:54
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:50
888sport🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:44
William Hill🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:43
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:44
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.20%E -7.90%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 20:49
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.08%E -5.82%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 20:49
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:35
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:35
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -17.45%E -4.53%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -17.45%E -4.53%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-03-22 20:55