La escuela de los momios

Goiás v América Mineiro

Inicio: 2026-03-22 21:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Goiás (Local)

Predicción 51.98%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -3.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.24%52.00%51.97%54.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.761.771.8660.61%56.68%56.50%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

América Mineiro (Visitante)

Predicción 21.44%4.66momio equitativo
EV +2.92%
Ventaja +0.609%
Kelly +0.769%
Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.79%21.31%21.47%23.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.354.404.8025.97%23.01%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.58%3.76momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%26.68%26.56%27.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.403.6032.26%29.22%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -14.23%E -8.63%K -21.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV +2.92%E +0.609%K +0.769%G +0.022%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-22 20:50
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.96%EV -8.52%E -4.84%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV +1.85%E +0.390%K +0.494%G +0.009%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:54
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.55%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.83%EV +0.779%E +0.166%K +0.211%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 20:50
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.62%EV -3.32%E -1.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.47%EV +0.565%E +0.120%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.91%EV -8.57%E -2.49%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-22 20:45
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:25
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 20:24
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 52.90%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 20:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -1.36%E -0.297%K -0.379%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 20:24
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.30%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 20:25
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.25%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.12%EV -3.51%E -0.780%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 20:50
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 51.76%EV -6.96%E -3.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.82%EV -4.58%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -10.16%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-22 18:25
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.32%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-22 20:25
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -10.60%E -6.16%K -14.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-22 20:25
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 20:24
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -5.65%E -1.28%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 20:24
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:24
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.98%EV -5.40%E -2.97%K -6.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.33%EV -6.73%E -1.55%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-22 18:24
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.80%E -1.81%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -10.96%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-22 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-22 19:09
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.99%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -8.87%E -2.09%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -13.62%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 20:54
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.44%E -3.58%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 20:50
888sport1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:44
William Hill1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:43
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:45
888sport (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -4.88%E -2.67%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -12.29%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 20:44
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 52.32%EV -9.56%E -5.49%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 20:25
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.50%EV -11.64%E -6.84%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -13.20%E -7.90%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.53%EV -9.94%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -17.61%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-22 20:49
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 51.79%EV -10.08%E -5.82%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.85%EV -12.09%E -2.95%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-22 20:49
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -8.00%E -4.52%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -14.23%E -3.56%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:35
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:35
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.16%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.37%E -4.20%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -9.63%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 20:40
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -17.45%E -4.53%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:44
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 50.74%EV -7.48%E -4.20%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -17.45%E -4.53%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.80%EV -6.98%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-22 20:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.15%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-03-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-03-22 20:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.67%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.93%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.40%2.4%2026-03-22 20:55