Language:English
Goiás v América Mineiro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 50.94%1.96fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -3.11%
Kelly -6.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.50%50.93%50.89%51.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8557.80%55.60%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
América Mineiro (Visit)
Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -0.999%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.60%21.22%21.23%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.344.354.5026.67%23.05%22.99%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.83%3.59fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.29%27.85%27.88%29.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.303.4534.72%30.17%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 50.94%; América Mineiro (Visit): 21.22%; Draw: 27.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -3.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.78%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.78%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 18:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 04:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -9.32%E -5.24%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.83%E -5.55%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.60%EV -10.34%E -5.88%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-05 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.87%E -6.86%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -20.41%E -5.44%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -19.84%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.