La scuola delle quote

Goiás v América Mineiro

Inizio: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Goiás (Casa)

Previsione 50.94%1.96quota equa
EV -5.76%
Vantaggio -3.11%
Kelly -6.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.50%50.93%50.89%51.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.801.801.8557.80%55.60%55.56%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

América Mineiro (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.22%4.71quota equa
EV -4.50%
Vantaggio -0.999%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.60%21.22%21.23%22.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.344.354.5026.67%23.05%22.99%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.83%3.59quota equa
EV -3.97%
Vantaggio -1.15%
Kelly -1.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.29%27.85%27.88%29.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.313.303.4534.72%30.17%30.30%28.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.78%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:34
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.78%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:15
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 04:10
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 04:09
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 20:50
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:49
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -9.32%E -5.24%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.83%E -5.55%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 17:50
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 51.60%EV -10.34%E -5.88%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 17:50
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 17:50
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.87%E -6.86%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -20.41%E -5.44%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -19.84%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-20 05:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.