默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás v América Mineiro

开赛时间: 2026-03-21 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Goiás (主队)

预测 50.94%1.96公平赔率
EV -5.76%
优势 -3.11%
Kelly -6.77%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
48.50%50.93%50.89%51.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.731.801.801.8557.80%55.60%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

América Mineiro (客队)

预测 21.22%4.71公平赔率
EV -4.50%
优势 -0.999%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.60%21.22%21.23%22.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.754.344.354.5026.67%23.05%22.99%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.83%3.59公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -1.15%
Kelly -1.62%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
27.29%27.85%27.88%29.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.313.303.4534.72%30.17%30.30%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Goiás (主队):50.94%;América Mineiro (客队):21.22%;平局:27.83%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.59。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.45,期望值为-3.97%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -5.76%E -3.11%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 05:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.17%EV -6.78%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-20 05:34
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -6.78%E -3.70%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.31%EV -3.97%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 18:55
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 04:10
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.76%EV -7.28%E -4.00%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.24%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 04:09
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.69%EV -7.79%E -4.31%K -9.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-05 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.49%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -4.50%E -0.999%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-05 17:50
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.44%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -9.54%E -2.93%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:50
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -8.30%E -4.61%K -10.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.86%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -10.93%E -3.42%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.66%EV -9.32%E -5.24%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.80%EV -9.83%E -5.55%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -6.75%E -2.02%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-05 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.60%EV -10.34%E -5.88%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-05 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 17:50
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -11.36%E -6.53%K -15.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.95%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -8.15%E -2.47%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-05 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.50%EV -11.87%E -6.86%K -16.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.37%EV -20.41%E -5.44%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.13%EV -19.84%E -6.89%K -10.55%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-20 05:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。