语言:简体中文
Fortaleza v Ceará
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Fortaleza (主队)
预测 41.65%2.40公平赔率
EV -3.38%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.32
博彩公司预测分布
40.34%42.08%41.59%49.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.782.182.202.3256.18%45.89%45.45%43.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ceará (客队)
预测 27.48%3.64公平赔率
EV +12.65%
优势 +3.09%
Kelly +4.08%
增长率 +0.516%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
21.62%27.09%27.60%28.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.413.354.1031.25%29.34%29.85%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.88%3.24公平赔率
EV -4.28%
优势 -1.38%
Kelly -2.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
28.59%30.82%30.81%31.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.882.992.953.1034.72%33.45%33.90%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fortaleza (主队)：41.65%；Ceará (客队)：27.48%；平局：30.88%。 对于“Ceará (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.64。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.10，对应+12.65%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.79%EV -25.87%E -14.53%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV +12.65%E +3.09%K +4.08%G +0.516% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 21:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.73%EV -19.21%E -9.90%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV +5.78%E +1.50%K +2.03%G +0.117% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -14.62%E -7.13%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.96%E -3.60%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -2.46%E -0.693%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.46%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.41%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.13%EV -4.59%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.94%EV -7.96%E -3.60%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -4.38%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.58%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -7.54%E -3.40%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.40%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -9.84%E -3.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.40%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -9.84%E -3.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 21:23 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 21:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 21:16 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |