Langue:Français
Fortaleza v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 41.65%2.40cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.34%42.08%41.59%49.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.782.182.202.3256.18%45.89%45.45%43.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV +12.65%
Avantage +3.09%
Kelly +4.08%
Croissance +0.516%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.62%27.09%27.60%28.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.354.1031.25%29.34%29.85%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 30.88%3.24cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.59%30.82%30.81%31.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.882.992.953.1034.72%33.45%33.90%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortaleza (Local) : 41.65% ; Ceará (Visiteur) : 27.48% ; Match nul : 30.88%. Pour Ceará (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.10, soit une espérance positive de +12.65%.
Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.79%EV -25.87%E -14.53%K -33.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV +12.65%E +3.09%K +4.08%G +0.516% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.59%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 21:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.73%EV -19.21%E -9.90%K -20.43%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV +5.78%E +1.50%K +2.03%G +0.117% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -14.62%E -7.13%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.96%E -3.60%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -2.46%E -0.693%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.37%EV -7.99%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.46%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.41%EV -3.56%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.13%EV -4.59%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -3.83%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.94%EV -7.96%E -3.60%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.64%EV -4.38%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.83%E -1.91%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 21:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -9.21%E -4.22%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.58%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.13%E -3.20%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.28%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.23%EV -7.54%E -3.40%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.40%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -9.84%E -3.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.10%EV -7.54%E -3.40%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.25%EV -9.84%E -3.37%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.79%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.23%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-13 21:23 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -7.37%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 21:26 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -12.54%E -5.97%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -8.91%E -3.02%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -6.29%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.46%E -3.61%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -10.46%E -4.86%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -12.08%E -3.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -11.08%E -3.85%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 21:16 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.77% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.07% | 0.6% | 2026-09-13 21:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.18% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-09-13 21:25 |