La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Fortaleza v América Mineiro
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fortaleza (Casa)
Previsione 57.39%1.74quota equa
EV -4.15%
Vantaggio -2.49%
Kelly -6.19%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.43%57.51%57.34%61.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.581.601.6769.93%63.46%62.50%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
América Mineiro (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.60%6.02quota equa
EV +3.78%
Vantaggio +0.604%
Kelly +0.719%
Crescita +0.027%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.92%16.58%16.76%18.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.605.706.2520.83%17.86%17.54%16.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.00%3.85quota equa
EV +4.00%
Vantaggio +1.00%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.053%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.32%25.91%25.90%28.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.613.554.0033.33%27.73%28.17%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -12.76%E -8.39%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -14.48%E -9.72%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -0.374%E -0.062%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV +0.103%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-16 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -15.63%E -10.63%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -1.20%E -0.315%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.10%EV -16.78%E -11.57%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.27%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.26%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.16%EV -17.93%E -12.54%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 22:41 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV +2.78%E +0.449%K +0.536%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -10.34%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.26%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.20%E -0.202%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.96%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -2.03%E -0.345%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:48 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.95%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -22.00%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |