مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortaleza v América Mineiro

البداية: 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortaleza 0–3 América Mineiro

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortaleza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.39%1.74السعر العادل
EV -4.15%
الأفضلية -2.49%
Kelly -6.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.43%57.51%57.34%61.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.581.601.6769.93%63.46%62.50%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

América Mineiro (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.60%6.02السعر العادل
EV +3.78%
الأفضلية +0.604%
Kelly +0.719%
النمو +0.027%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.92%16.58%16.76%18.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.805.605.706.2520.83%17.86%17.54%16.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.00%3.85السعر العادل
EV +4.00%
الأفضلية +1.00%
Kelly +1.33%
النمو +0.053%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.32%25.91%25.90%28.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.613.554.0033.33%27.73%28.17%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -12.76%E -8.39%K -24.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%6.8%2026-06-16 22:50
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Unibet (NL)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -14.48%E -9.72%K -29.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -0.374%E -0.062%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV +0.103%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-16 22:45
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -15.63%E -10.63%K -33.25%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -1.20%E -0.315%K -0.428%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-16 22:50
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-16 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.10%EV -16.78%E -11.57%K -37.28%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.27%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-16 22:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 61.26%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-16 22:50
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-16 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-16 22:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 61.16%EV -17.93%E -12.54%K -41.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%14.3%2026-06-16 22:40
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 22:41
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-16 22:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 22:40
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 22:40
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV +2.78%E +0.449%K +0.536%G +0.015%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -10.34%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 22:40
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.26%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.20%E -0.202%K -0.243%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.96%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 22:50
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 22:50
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -2.03%E -0.345%K -0.415%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 22:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-16 22:50
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 22:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-16 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-16 22:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-16 22:48
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-16 22:50
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-16 22:50
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-16 22:50
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-16 22:50
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-16 22:50
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 22:50
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 22:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-16 22:50
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.95%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -22.00%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000%17.0%2026-06-16 22:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-16 22:50
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%1.0%2026-06-16 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-06-16 22:50
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%2.4%2026-06-16 22:50