Langue:Français
Fortaleza v América Mineiro
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Fortaleza (Local)
Prévision 57.39%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -2.49%
Kelly -6.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.67
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.43%57.51%57.34%61.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.431.581.601.6769.93%63.46%62.50%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
América Mineiro (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.60%6.02cote équitable
EV +3.78%
Avantage +0.604%
Kelly +0.719%
Croissance +0.027%
avec la cote maximale 6.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.92%16.58%16.76%18.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.805.605.706.2520.83%17.86%17.54%16.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 26.00%3.85cote équitable
EV +4.00%
Avantage +1.00%
Kelly +1.33%
Croissance +0.053%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.32%25.91%25.90%28.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.613.554.0033.33%27.73%28.17%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Fortaleza (Local) : 57.39% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 16.60% ; Match nul : 26.00%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.85. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.00%.
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -12.76%E -8.39%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -14.48%E -9.72%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -0.374%E -0.062%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV +0.103%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-16 22:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -15.63%E -10.63%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -1.20%E -0.315%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.10%EV -16.78%E -11.57%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.27%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.26%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.16%EV -17.93%E -12.54%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 22:41 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV +2.78%E +0.449%K +0.536%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -10.34%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.26%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.20%E -0.202%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.96%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -2.03%E -0.345%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.95%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -22.00%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |