La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fortaleza v América Mineiro
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fortaleza (Local)
Predicción 57.39%1.74momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -2.49%
Kelly -6.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.43%57.51%57.34%61.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.581.601.6769.93%63.46%62.50%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
América Mineiro (Visitante)
Predicción 16.60%6.02momio equitativo
EV +3.78%
Ventaja +0.604%
Kelly +0.719%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.92%16.58%16.76%18.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.605.706.2520.83%17.86%17.54%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV +4.00%
Ventaja +1.00%
Kelly +1.33%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.32%25.91%25.90%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.613.554.0033.33%27.73%28.17%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -12.76%E -8.39%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 6.8% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.76%EV -13.33%E -8.83%K -26.14%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +3.78%E +0.604%K +0.719%G +0.027% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV +4.00%E +1.00%K +1.33%G +0.053% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -14.48%E -9.72%K -29.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -0.374%E -0.062%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.67%EV +0.103%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-16 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -15.63%E -10.63%K -33.25%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -1.20%E -0.315%K -0.428%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.10%EV -16.78%E -11.57%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.27%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.26%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.21%EV -3.69%E -0.637%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.53%EV -2.50%E -0.666%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.18%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.99%EV -17.35%E -12.05%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.27%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.74%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.16%EV -17.93%E -12.54%K -41.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -3.80%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 22:41 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.90%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.02%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.40%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.46%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.19I 16.16%NM 15.50%EV +2.78%E +0.449%K +0.536%G +0.015% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.03%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.96%EV -10.34%E -1.91%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -7.70%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.26%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.57%EV -1.20%E -0.202%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.96%E -2.25%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.64%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.50%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.86%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV -2.03%E -0.345%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.90%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.32%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.07%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.86%EV -5.36%E -0.939%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.00%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.03%EV -7.59%E -4.72%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV -4.52%E -0.787%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-16 22:48 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -8.68%E -1.58%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.33%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.17%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -20.30%E -4.23%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.60%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.65%EV -6.45%E -3.95%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -12.83%E -2.44%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -12.90%E -3.85%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.43%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.09%EV -16.98%E -3.40%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.48%EV -22.00%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-06-16 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.88% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.75% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 22:50 |