Language:English
Cuiabá v Sport Recife
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 38.81%2.58fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.66%38.77%38.86%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.382.4844.44%41.97%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sport Recife (Visit)
Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -0.495%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.09%31.23%31.13%32.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.932.903.1935.71%34.10%34.48%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.00%3.33fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.94%30.01%30.01%31.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.053.1734.48%32.84%32.73%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 38.81%; Sport Recife (Visit): 31.19%; Draw: 30.00%. For Sport Recife (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.19, with an expected value of -0.495%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -0.495%E -0.155%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -4.91%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -2.99%E -0.961%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -9.71%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 23:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.25%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.27%EV -8.21%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.85%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.29%EV -12.35%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.29%EV -12.35%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 23:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |