La escuela de los momios

Cuiabá v Sport Recife

Inicio: 2026-03-21 23:32 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Predicción 38.81%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.66%38.77%38.86%39.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.382.4844.44%41.97%42.02%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sport Recife (Visitante)

Predicción 31.19%3.21momio equitativo
EV -0.495%
Ventaja -0.155%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.09%31.23%31.13%32.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.932.903.1935.71%34.10%34.48%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.00%3.33momio equitativo
EV -4.91%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.94%30.01%30.01%31.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.053.1734.48%32.84%32.73%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:30
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:30
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:30
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:30
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 23:30
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:29
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 23:29
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:17
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -0.495%E -0.155%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -4.91%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 23:29
Grosvenor2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 23:30
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -2.99%E -0.961%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -9.71%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 23:29
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:30
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 23:29
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 23:28
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-21 23:30
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 23:30
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 23:30
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 23:29
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 23:29
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 23:29
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-21 23:30
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:30
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:29
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-21 23:29
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.25%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.27%EV -8.21%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 23:29
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.85%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 23:30
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.29%EV -12.35%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 23:29
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.29%EV -12.35%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 23:29
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 23:28
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 23:29
theScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-21 23:29
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 23:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-21 23:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 23:29
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-21 23:29
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 23:30
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 23:30
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-21 23:29
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 23:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 23:29
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-21 23:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-21 23:29
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-21 23:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98%0.9%2026-03-21 23:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-21 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-21 23:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31%1.4%2026-03-21 23:30
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08%2.1%2026-03-21 23:30