L’École des cotesFrançais
Cuiabá v Sport Recife
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cuiabá (Local)
Prévision 38.81%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.75%
Avantage -1.51%
Kelly -2.53%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.48
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.66%38.77%38.86%39.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.382.382.4844.44%41.97%42.02%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Sport Recife (Visiteur)
Prévision 31.19%3.21cote équitable
EV -0.495%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.226%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.19
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.09%31.23%31.13%32.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.932.903.1935.71%34.10%34.48%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.00%3.33cote équitable
EV -4.91%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.94%30.01%30.01%31.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.053.053.1734.48%32.84%32.73%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -3.75%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Unibet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -4.91%E -2.01%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:17 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -5.30%E -2.17%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -0.495%E -0.155%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.37%EV -4.91%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.97%EV -5.69%E -2.34%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.47%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.09%EV -2.99%E -0.961%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.09%EV -9.71%E -3.23%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -5.51%E -1.75%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 23:28 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -6.85%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -13.01%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.86%EV -7.63%E -3.21%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.42%E -2.14%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.25%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.27%EV -8.21%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.85%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -7.98%E -2.71%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -8.51%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.29%EV -12.35%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.56%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.29%EV -12.35%E -4.39%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 23:28 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -4.86%E -1.59%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.23%EV -10.16%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -8.79%E -3.74%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.46%EV -11.10%E -3.89%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.51%E -3.90%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.01%E -2.26%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.73%E -4.67%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.66%E -4.52%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.68%E -5.63%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.54%E -3.29%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.01%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.98% | 0.9% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 23:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.10% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.59% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.31% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.12% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.08% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 23:30 |