Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 23:30 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 2–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá (Local)

Prediction 41.11%2.43fair odd
EV -0.107%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.075%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.65%40.83%41.21%42.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.252.4347.62%43.78%44.35%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.358%
Kelly -0.493%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.14%27.39%26.94%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.303.6533.33%30.31%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.85%3.14fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.03%31.77%31.85%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.902.903.0038.02%34.53%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 41.11%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 27.04%; Draw: 31.85%. For Cuiabá (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.433. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.430, with an expected value of -0.107%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -1.34%E -0.558%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -2.16%E -0.909%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 23:10
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.31%E -0.358%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 23:20
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 23:10
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:10
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -4.82%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -7.95%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 23:20
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 23:09
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 23:20
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 23:10
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 23:17
Codere (IT)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -8.74%E -3.94%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.58%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 23:09
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 23:08
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 23:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:09
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.23%E -6.17%K -9.96%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-05-31 23:20