L’École des cotes

Cuiabá v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 23:30 UTC

Score final : Cuiabá 2–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Prévision 41.11%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.107%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.075%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.65%40.83%41.21%42.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.252.4347.62%43.78%44.35%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.04%3.70cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.358%
Kelly -0.493%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.14%27.39%26.94%30.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.303.6533.33%30.31%30.30%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.85%3.14cote équitable
EV -4.44%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.03%31.77%31.85%32.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.902.903.0038.02%34.53%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:09
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -1.34%E -0.558%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 23:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -2.16%E -0.909%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 23:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 23:10
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.31%E -0.358%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 23:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 23:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:10
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:10
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -4.82%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -7.95%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 23:20
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 23:09
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 23:20
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:09
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 23:10
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 23:17
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -8.74%E -3.94%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 23:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.58%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 23:09
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 23:08
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 23:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.23%E -6.17%K -9.96%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-05-31 23:20