La escuela de los momios

Cuiabá v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Inicio: 2026-05-31 23:30 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 2–0 Clube de Regatas Brasil

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Predicción 41.11%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.107%
Ventaja -0.044%
Kelly -0.075%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.65%40.83%41.21%42.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.252.4347.62%43.78%44.35%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.358%
Kelly -0.493%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.14%27.39%26.94%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.303.6533.33%30.31%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.85%3.14momio equitativo
EV -4.44%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.03%31.77%31.85%32.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.902.903.0038.02%34.53%34.48%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:09
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.74%EV -0.107%E -0.044%K -0.075%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 23:10
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -1.34%E -0.558%K -0.957%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 23:10
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -2.16%E -0.909%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-31 23:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -4.44%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.95%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.01%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.75%EV -3.40%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.85%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 23:10
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.31%E -0.358%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -4.76%E -1.59%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 23:20
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.78%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.24%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-31 23:10
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 23:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.03%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 23:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.45%E -2.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -13.47%E -4.21%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:10
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -2.66%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.23%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 23:10
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.57%EV -4.82%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.00%EV -7.10%E -3.14%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.99%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.06%EV -7.95%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 23:20
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 23:09
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 23:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 23:20
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.68%EV -6.99%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 23:10
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:09
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 23:10
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -7.51%E -3.34%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-31 23:10
Bovada2.23I 44.84%NM 41.33%EV -8.33%E -3.73%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-31 23:17
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.35%EV -8.74%E -3.94%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.63%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 23:20
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.75%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.00%EV -8.58%E -2.99%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 23:09
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-31 23:08
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.78%EV -9.22%E -3.24%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 23:10
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:09
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.56%E -4.35%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-31 23:10
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.26%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-31 23:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -11.62%E -5.40%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -10.81%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 23:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -13.67%E -6.51%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -16.18%E -5.22%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -16.23%E -6.17%K -9.96%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%0.2%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.55%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-05-31 23:20
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.67%2.0%2026-05-31 23:20