赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Cuiabá v Ceará

开赛时间： 2026-04-04 21:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

41 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cuiabá (主队)

预测 40.08%2.49公平赔率
EV +0.210%
优势 +0.084%
Kelly +0.140%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.30%39.74%40.23%41.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.31%43.48%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ceará (客队)

预测 28.06%3.56公平赔率
EV -0.387%
优势 -0.109%
Kelly -0.152%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.55

博彩公司预测分布
26.79%28.34%28.00%31.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.253.253.5534.72%30.74%30.77%28.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 31.86%3.14公平赔率
EV -1.25%
优势 -0.402%
Kelly -0.593%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.10

博彩公司预测分布
30.15%31.92%31.77%33.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.922.923.1038.02%34.29%34.25%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cuiabá (主队)：40.08%；Ceará (客队)：28.06%；平局：31.86%。 对于“Cuiabá (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.50，对应+0.210%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (41 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV +0.210%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -17.22%E -5.84%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.387%E -0.109%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.12%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 20:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.387%E -0.109%K -0.152%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.12%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 20:54
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.35%E -0.676%K -0.948%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.86%EV -6.66%E -2.27%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 20:49
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.80%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -3.80%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-04 20:49
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -5.00%E -2.11%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 20:45
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -3.19%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 20:54
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 20:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 20:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.40%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 20:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:54
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:54
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:54
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 20:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.89%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 20:54
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 20:54
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 20:50
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-04 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -16.22%E -6.17%K -9.95%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-04 20:53
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.19%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -9.85%E -3.48%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 20:55
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 20:50
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 20:49
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 20:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 20:54
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 20:54
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 20:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 20:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 20:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 20:54
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-04 20:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 20:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 20:54
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-04 20:54
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.82%E -5.37%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-04 20:53
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.82%E -5.37%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 20:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-04-04 20:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-04-04 20:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-04-04 20:50
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09%0.7%2026-04-04 20:54
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01%1.7%2026-04-04 20:50