L’École des cotesFrançais
Cuiabá v Ceará
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cuiabá (Local)
Prévision 40.08%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.210%
Avantage +0.084%
Kelly +0.140%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.30%39.74%40.23%41.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.31%43.48%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ceará (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV -0.387%
Avantage -0.109%
Kelly -0.152%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.79%28.34%28.00%31.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.253.5534.72%30.74%30.77%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 31.86%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.25%
Avantage -0.402%
Kelly -0.593%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%31.92%31.77%33.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.922.923.1038.02%34.29%34.25%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV +0.210%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -17.22%E -5.84%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.387%E -0.109%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.12%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.387%E -0.109%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.12%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.35%E -0.676%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.86%EV -6.66%E -2.27%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.80%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -3.80%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -5.00%E -2.11%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -3.19%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.40%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.89%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -16.22%E -6.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-04 20:53 |
| BetUS | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.19%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -9.85%E -3.48%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.82%E -5.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.82%E -5.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |