La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Cuiabá v Ceará
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 40.08%2.49momio equitativo
EV +0.210%
Ventaja +0.084%
Kelly +0.140%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.30%39.74%40.23%41.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.5045.45%43.31%43.48%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ceará (Visitante)
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -0.387%
Ventaja -0.109%
Kelly -0.152%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.79%28.34%28.00%31.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.5534.72%30.74%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.86%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.402%
Kelly -0.593%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%31.92%31.77%33.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.922.923.1038.02%34.29%34.25%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV +0.210%E +0.084%K +0.140%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -17.22%E -5.84%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.387%E -0.109%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.12%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.64%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -0.387%E -0.109%K -0.152%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.12%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.46%EV -2.20%E -0.900%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.67%EV -2.35%E -0.676%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.86%EV -6.66%E -2.27%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -3.80%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -3.80%E -1.58%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.32%EV -5.00%E -2.11%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -3.19%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -5.80%E -2.47%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.40%E -4.51%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 20:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Casumo | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| betPARX | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.41%EV -7.01%E -3.02%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.84%E -0.931%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.31%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.42%EV -8.89%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -13.99%E -5.18%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -7.81%E -3.39%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -19.19%E -6.66%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -16.22%E -6.17%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-04 20:53 |
| BetUS | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.54%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.19%E -0.925%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.66%EV -9.85%E -3.48%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -6.98%E -2.39%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.26%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.60%EV -4.43%E -1.48%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.20%EV -8.61%E -3.78%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -1.25%E -0.402%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.40%E -2.24%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -9.81%E -4.36%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -11.61%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -6.02%E -2.04%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| LeoVegas | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.19%EV -10.61%E -4.76%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.91%EV -13.01%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.90%EV -7.62%E -2.63%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.82%E -5.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -8.25%E -2.87%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -11.82%E -5.37%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.80%E -2.71%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.80%E -3.86%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.20% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.67% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.01% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 20:50 |