Language:English
Cuiabá v Athletic Club (MG)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 48.57%2.06fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -5.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.66%48.59%48.56%50.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.891.901.9555.87%53.01%52.49%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)
Prediction 20.71%4.83fair odd
EV +7.92%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.149%
assuming max odds 5.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.95%20.72%20.70%22.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.484.505.2125.00%22.33%22.22%19.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV -4.77%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.52%30.69%30.74%31.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.972.953.1035.09%33.67%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 48.57%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visit): 20.71%; Draw: 30.72%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.21, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 17.95%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.88%G +0.149% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -8.76%E -2.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -2.98%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.47%EV +2.12%E +0.431%K +0.540%G +0.011% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.46%EV -8.21%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 23:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -7.72%E -4.07%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.27%E -3.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.18%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.85%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.99%EV -11.61%E -6.38%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -12.10%E -6.68%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -9.18%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.44%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -6.27%E -3.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.23% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.25% | -0.0% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |