Idioma:Español
Cuiabá v Athletic Club (MG)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cuiabá (Local)
Predicción 48.57%2.06momio equitativo
EV -5.30%
Ventaja -2.72%
Kelly -5.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.66%48.59%48.56%50.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.891.901.9555.87%53.01%52.49%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)
Predicción 20.71%4.83momio equitativo
EV +7.92%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +1.88%
Crecimiento +0.149%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.95%20.72%20.70%22.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.484.505.2125.00%22.33%22.22%19.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.72%3.26momio equitativo
EV -4.77%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.52%30.69%30.74%31.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.852.972.953.1035.09%33.67%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cuiabá (Local): 48.57%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante): 20.71%; Empate: 30.72%. Para Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.83. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.21, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +7.92%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 17.95%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.88%G +0.149% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -8.76%E -2.95%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -2.98%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.47%EV +2.12%E +0.431%K +0.540%G +0.011% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.46%EV -8.21%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 23:02 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -7.72%E -4.07%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.27%E -3.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.18%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-08 23:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.53%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.85%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.99%EV -11.61%E -6.38%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -12.10%E -6.68%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-08 23:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-08 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -9.18%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.44%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-08 23:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -6.27%E -3.25%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-08 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.23% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.25% | -0.0% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69% | 0.3% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02% | 0.7% | 2026-09-08 23:25 |