Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá v Athletic Club (MG)

Início: 2026-09-08 23:29 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 3–0 Athletic Club (MG)

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 48.57%2.06odd justa
EV -5.30%
Vantagem -2.72%
Kelly -5.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.66%48.59%48.56%50.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.891.901.9555.87%53.01%52.49%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)

Previsão 20.71%4.83odd justa
EV +7.92%
Vantagem +1.52%
Kelly +1.88%
Crescimento +0.149%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.21

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.95%20.72%20.70%22.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.484.505.2125.00%22.33%22.22%19.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.72%3.26odd justa
EV -4.77%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -2.27%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.52%30.69%30.74%31.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.852.972.953.1035.09%33.67%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cuiabá (Local): 48.57%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante): 20.71%; Empate: 30.72%. Para Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.83. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.21, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.92%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.95%EV +7.92%E +1.52%K +1.88%G +0.149%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -8.76%E -2.95%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 23:24
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.47%EV -5.78%E -2.98%K -6.15%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.47%EV +2.12%E +0.431%K +0.540%G +0.011%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.06%EV -5.08%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 23:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:04
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.95%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.16%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:04
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.46%EV -8.21%E -4.34%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 23:20
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 23:20
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -6.31%E -2.07%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 23:19
Bovada🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 23:02
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -8.70%E -4.63%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -2.64%E -0.562%K -0.714%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-08 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -7.72%E -4.07%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.27%E -3.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-08 23:05
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.01%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.62%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.17%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-08 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 23:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.70%EV -10.15%E -5.49%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -6.78%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 23:20
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.30%E -2.72%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-08 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.30%EV -9.18%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 23:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 23:09
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.53%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:09
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.53%K -5.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.85%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.99%EV -11.61%E -6.38%K -14.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -8.86%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 23:20
TABtouch🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.91%EV -12.10%E -6.68%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.35%EV -9.89%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.74%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 23:20
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-08 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.75%EV -6.75%E -3.52%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.17%EV -10.31%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.08%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 48.92%EV -13.07%E -7.30%K -16.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.36%EV -10.93%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.72%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-08 23:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.94%EV -9.18%E -4.91%K -10.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-08 23:25
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.44%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.32%EV -11.96%E -2.81%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.31%EV -6.27%E -3.25%K -6.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -9.38%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 23:04
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.12%E -6.08%K -13.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -13.00%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:05
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -11.53%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 23:04
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 23:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.66%EV -7.24%E -3.79%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.28%EV -17.14%E -4.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.05%EV -11.84%E -4.12%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.51%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.23%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.25%-0.0%2026-09-08 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-09-08 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-09-08 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-09-08 23:25
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-09-08 23:25