Школа коэффициентов

Criciuma v Botafogo

Начало: 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

45 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Criciuma (Хозяева)

Прогноз 49.57%2.02справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.33%
Преимущество -2.24%
Kelly -4.65%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.93

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
47.78%49.62%49.48%52.54%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.20%54.05%51.81%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Botafogo (Гости)

Прогноз 21.15%4.73справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.77%
Преимущество +0.571%
Kelly +0.718%
Рост +0.020%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.86

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.23%21.03%21.25%23.02%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.464.404.8625.00%22.41%22.73%20.58%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 29.28%3.42справедливый коэффициент
EV -4.25%
Преимущество -1.30%
Kelly -1.87%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.27

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.24%29.34%29.27%30.72%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.103.103.2735.71%32.27%32.26%30.58%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (45 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV +2.77%E +0.571%K +0.718%G +0.020%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 22:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.86%EV -0.399%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -9.78%E -5.37%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.54%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 22:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.74%E -8.57%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 23:24
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:25
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 23:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 23:15
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 23:19
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.48%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -10.13%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 23:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 20:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -18.01%E -6.43%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-10 23:15
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-04-10 23:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-10 23:25