A Escola das Odds

Criciuma v Botafogo

Início: 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Previsão 49.57%2.02odd justa
EV -4.33%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.78%49.62%49.48%52.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.20%54.05%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botafogo (Visitante)

Previsão 21.15%4.73odd justa
EV +2.77%
Vantagem +0.571%
Kelly +0.718%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.23%21.03%21.25%23.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.464.404.8625.00%22.41%22.73%20.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.28%3.42odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -1.30%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.24%29.34%29.27%30.72%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.103.103.2735.71%32.27%32.26%30.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV +2.77%E +0.571%K +0.718%G +0.020%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 22:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.86%EV -0.399%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -9.78%E -5.37%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.54%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 22:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.74%E -8.57%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 23:24
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:25
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 23:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 23:15
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 23:19
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.48%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -10.13%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 23:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 20:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -18.01%E -6.43%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-10 23:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-04-10 23:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-10 23:25