Szkoła Kursów

Criciuma v Botafogo

Początek: 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

45 bukmacherów (17 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Criciuma (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 49.57%2.02kurs godziwy
EV -4.33%
Przewaga -2.24%
Kelly -4.65%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.93

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.78%49.62%49.48%52.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.20%54.05%51.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Botafogo (Goście)

Prognoza 21.15%4.73kurs godziwy
EV +2.77%
Przewaga +0.571%
Kelly +0.718%
Wzrost +0.020%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.86

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.23%21.03%21.25%23.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.004.464.404.8625.00%22.41%22.73%20.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.28%3.42kurs godziwy
EV -4.25%
Przewaga -1.30%
Kelly -1.87%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.27

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.24%29.34%29.27%30.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.103.103.2735.71%32.27%32.26%30.58%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (45 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV +2.77%E +0.571%K +0.718%G +0.020%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 22:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.86%EV -0.399%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -9.78%E -5.37%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.54%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 22:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.74%E -8.57%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 23:24
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:25
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 23:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 23:15
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 23:19
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.48%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -10.13%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 23:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 20:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -18.01%E -6.43%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-10 23:15
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-04-10 23:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-10 23:25