مدرسة الاحتمالات

Criciuma v Botafogo

البداية: 2026-04-10 23:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Criciuma (المضيف)

التنبؤ 49.57%2.02السعر العادل
EV -4.33%
الأفضلية -2.24%
Kelly -4.65%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.78%49.62%49.48%52.54%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.20%54.05%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Botafogo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.15%4.73السعر العادل
EV +2.77%
الأفضلية +0.571%
Kelly +0.718%
النمو +0.020%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.86

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.23%21.03%21.25%23.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.464.404.8625.00%22.41%22.73%20.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 29.28%3.42السعر العادل
EV -4.25%
الأفضلية -1.30%
Kelly -1.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.24%29.34%29.27%30.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.103.2735.71%32.27%32.26%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.72%EV +2.77%E +0.571%K +0.718%G +0.020%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.31%EV -4.25%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-10 23:20
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.56%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.69%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 22:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.396%G +0.006%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 22:40
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.86%EV -0.399%E -0.085%K -0.108%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.04%EV -5.71%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:20
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.97%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 23:15
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.40%EV -9.78%E -5.37%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.54%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 22:40
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.91%EV -10.69%E -3.50%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.54%EV -14.74%E -8.57%K -20.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -0.611%E -0.130%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-10 23:24
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.46%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.83%E -1.49%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 23:25
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.89%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 23:15
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 50.50%EV -11.76%E -6.61%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -2.73%E -0.592%K -0.757%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 22:40
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 50.82%EV -10.28%E -5.68%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-10 23:15
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-10 23:15
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:24
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -6.95%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 23:25
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.51%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-10 23:15
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.30%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 23:15
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-10 23:19
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.43%EV -7.80%E -4.19%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.76%E -2.46%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 23:15
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.48%EV -9.28%E -5.07%K -11.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.31%EV -10.13%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.23%E -2.98%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -4.33%E -2.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 23:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.14%EV -6.81%E -3.62%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 23:15
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.30%E -3.90%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 20:10
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -11.18%E -2.66%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 23:15
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -5.32%E -2.78%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.30%E -1.97%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 23:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -8.29%E -4.48%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.15%E -4.05%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-10 23:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 47.78%EV -10.77%E -5.98%K -13.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.72%EV -18.01%E -6.43%K -10.01%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-10 23:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.64%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.46%-0.2%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-04-10 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.71%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%0.7%2026-04-10 23:25
Smarkets1.92I 52.08%NM 50.87%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.60%2.4%2026-04-10 23:25