Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v São Bernardo

Kickoff: 2026-06-07 19:00 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–3 São Bernardo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 55.10%1.81fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -6.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.13%55.16%55.05%58.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.681.701.7364.52%59.46%58.82%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Visit)

Prediction 19.08%5.24fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.431%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.36%19.06%19.13%20.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.784.805.3423.26%20.92%20.83%18.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.82%3.87fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.915%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.40%25.77%25.81%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.533.553.7432.26%28.36%28.17%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 55.10%; São Bernardo (Visit): 19.08%; Draw: 25.82%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +1.87%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -3.42%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 18:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.47%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -0.609%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.54%EV -5.23%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 18:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -14.60%E -9.42%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-07 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -1.75%E -0.341%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 18:49
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -2.71%E -0.531%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-07 18:48
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.43%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.74%E -6.63%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-07 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:39
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-07 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-07 18:39
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:39
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-07 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -6.88%E -4.07%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-07 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.49%E -8.59%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.95%E -6.43%K -9.50%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-07 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-07 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.31%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-07 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.33%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -17.02%E -3.91%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-07 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -17.02%E -3.91%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-07 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -17.97%E -4.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-07 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-06-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-06-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-06-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-06-07 18:50
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-06-07 18:50