Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v São Bernardo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-07 19:00 UTC

Score final : Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–3 São Bernardo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 55.10%1.81cote équitable
EV -4.68%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -6.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.13%55.16%55.05%58.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.681.701.7364.52%59.46%58.82%57.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

São Bernardo (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.08%5.24cote équitable
EV +1.87%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.431%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.36%19.06%19.13%20.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.784.805.3423.26%20.92%20.83%18.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.82%3.87cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -0.915%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.40%25.77%25.81%27.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.533.553.7432.26%28.36%28.17%26.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local) : 55.10% ; São Bernardo (Visiteur) : 19.08% ; Match nul : 25.82%. Pour São Bernardo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.24. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.34, soit une espérance positive de +1.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +1.87%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -3.42%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-07 18:50
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.47%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.93%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -0.609%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.54%EV -5.23%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-07 18:49
FanDuel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-07 18:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -14.60%E -9.42%K -26.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.190%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-07 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -1.75%E -0.341%K -0.423%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-07 18:49
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -2.71%E -0.531%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-07 18:48
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.43%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-07 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-07 18:49
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.74%E -6.63%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-07 18:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:39
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-07 18:39
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-07 18:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-07 18:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-07 18:39
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:39
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Coolbet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-07 18:09
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-07 18:39
Unibet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Casumo🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:49
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-07 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-07 18:39
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -6.88%E -4.07%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-07 18:09
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-07 18:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.49%E -8.59%K -23.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.95%E -6.43%K -9.50%G +0.000%18.2%2026-06-07 18:49
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-07 18:39
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.31%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-07 18:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.33%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -17.02%E -3.91%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-07 18:49
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -17.02%E -3.91%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-07 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -17.97%E -4.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-07 18:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23%0.4%2026-06-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-06-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-06-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-06-07 18:50
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-06-07 18:50