La escuela de los momiosClube de Regatas Brasil v São Bernardo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Predicción 55.10%1.81momio equitativo
EV -4.68%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -6.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.13%55.16%55.05%58.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.681.701.7364.52%59.46%58.82%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
São Bernardo (Visitante)
Predicción 19.08%5.24momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.350%
Kelly +0.431%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.36%19.06%19.13%20.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.784.805.3423.26%20.92%20.83%18.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.82%3.87momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.40%25.77%25.81%27.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.553.7432.26%28.36%28.17%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.40%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.96%EV +1.87%E +0.350%K +0.431%G +0.008% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.64%EV -3.42%E -0.915%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.47%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 17.99%EV -0.609%E -0.117%K -0.145%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.54%EV -5.23%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.71%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-07 18:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -14.60%E -9.42%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV -0.800%E -0.154%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.22%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.01%EV -1.75%E -0.341%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.27%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.09%EV -2.71%E -0.531%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-07 18:48 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.43%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.31%EV -9.09%E -5.51%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -4.45%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -10.74%E -6.63%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -4.62%E -0.923%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| BetUS | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -6.52%E -1.33%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.04%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.89%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -7.48%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -14.78%E -4.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.75%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.72%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -8.43%E -1.76%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-07 18:09 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.74%EV -11.84%E -7.40%K -19.73%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -9.38%E -1.98%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.90%EV -4.68%E -2.70%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.33%E -2.35%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.42%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -10.34%E -2.20%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| theScore Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.44%EV -6.88%E -4.07%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -12.25%E -2.66%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.04%E -1.95%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-07 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.52%EV -5.78%E -3.38%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-07 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-07 18:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -13.49%E -8.59%K -23.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -14.15%E -3.15%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.95%E -6.43%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -5.23%E -3.04%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.11%EV -9.62%E -2.75%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-07 18:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.31%EV -7.43%E -4.42%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.35%EV -16.06%E -3.65%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.33%EV -7.98%E -4.78%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -17.02%E -3.91%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.20%E -3.59%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.27%EV -8.53%E -5.14%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.33%EV -17.02%E -3.91%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.40%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.45%EV -9.64%E -5.88%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -17.97%E -4.18%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -13.49%E -4.03%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-07 18:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.60% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.23% | 0.4% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 1.0% | 2026-06-07 18:50 |