Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Ponte Preta

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 19:32 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 4–2 Ponte Preta

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 62.28%1.61fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -7.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.34%62.34%62.37%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.501.5471.43%67.03%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ponte Preta (Visit)

Prediction 14.47%6.91fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.350%
Kelly +0.408%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 7.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.90%14.42%14.39%16.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.236.107.0818.18%16.06%16.39%14.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.25%4.30fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.58%23.24%23.24%24.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.933.954.2128.57%25.45%25.32%23.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 62.28%; Ponte Preta (Visit): 14.47%; Draw: 23.25%. For Ponte Preta (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.91. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.51%EV +2.48%E +0.350%K +0.408%G +0.010%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.72%EV -2.14%E -0.508%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:30
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 19:30
FanDuel🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -9.69%E -6.69%K -21.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 19:30
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.08%EV -3.89%E -0.586%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:29
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 19:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:29
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
BetUS🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:30
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.69%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -10.26%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 19:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -10.26%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:29
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:29
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:29
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.52%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 19:30
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.64%E -5.33%K -7.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-24 19:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -16.77%E -2.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 19:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%1.0%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.1%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-24 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.28%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%4.7%2026-05-24 19:30