La escuela de los momios

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Ponte Preta

Inicio: 2026-05-24 19:32 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 4–2 Ponte Preta

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Predicción 62.28%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.09%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -7.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.34%62.34%62.37%64.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.491.501.5471.43%67.03%66.67%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Ponte Preta (Visitante)

Predicción 14.47%6.91momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +0.350%
Kelly +0.408%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.90%14.42%14.39%16.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.236.107.0818.18%16.06%16.39%14.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.25%4.30momio equitativo
EV -2.14%
Ventaja -0.508%
Kelly -0.666%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.58%23.24%23.24%24.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.933.954.2128.57%25.45%25.32%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.51%EV +2.48%E +0.350%K +0.408%G +0.010%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.72%EV -2.14%E -0.508%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:30
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 19:30
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -9.69%E -6.69%K -21.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 19:30
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.08%EV -3.89%E -0.586%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:29
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 19:28
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.69%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -10.26%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 19:29
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -10.26%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:29
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:29
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:29
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:30
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.52%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 19:30
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 19:30
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 19:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.64%E -5.33%K -7.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-24 19:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -16.77%E -2.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 19:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%1.0%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.1%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-24 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.28%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%4.7%2026-05-24 19:30