L’École des cotes

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Ponte Preta

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 19:32 UTC

Score final : Clube de Regatas Brasil 4–2 Ponte Preta

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 62.28%1.61cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -7.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.34%62.34%62.37%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.501.5471.43%67.03%66.67%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ponte Preta (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.47%6.91cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.350%
Kelly +0.408%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 7.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.90%14.42%14.39%16.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.236.107.0818.18%16.06%16.39%14.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.25%4.30cote équitable
EV -2.14%
Avantage -0.508%
Kelly -0.666%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.58%23.24%23.24%24.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.933.954.2128.57%25.45%25.32%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.08I 14.12%NM 13.51%EV +2.48%E +0.350%K +0.408%G +0.010%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.72%EV -2.14%E -0.508%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.23%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:30
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.39%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 19:30
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.71%EV -9.69%E -6.69%K -21.54%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.10%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.52%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV +1.32%E +0.189%K +0.220%G +0.003%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 19:30
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.64I 15.06%NM 14.08%EV -3.89%E -0.586%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -9.58%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:29
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.79%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -4.69%E -1.14%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 19:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 19:28
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 19:29
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.52%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.20%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 19:29
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.22%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 62.32%EV -9.69%E -6.69%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -5.91%E -0.910%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 19:30
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -10.26%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 19:29
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 61.69%EV -5.96%E -3.95%K -11.68%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.02%EV -10.26%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 19:29
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:30
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -4.09%E -2.66%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 19:29
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:29
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.21%EV -11.70%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -5.86%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 19:30
BetRivers1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.71%E -3.08%K -8.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 19:24
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.02%E -1.75%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 19:29
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-24 19:30
Codere (IT)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.52%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%EV -8.18%E -2.07%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 19:30
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.34%EV -7.20%E -4.83%K -14.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 19:30
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.61%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -12.83%E -3.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 19:29
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.83%E -5.29%K -16.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-24 19:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.43%EV -12.81%E -9.15%K -32.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.57%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -11.67%E -3.07%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 60.55%EV -10.32%E -7.16%K -23.45%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.53%EV -13.15%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -18.64%E -5.33%K -7.46%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-24 19:30
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 61.15%EV -8.45%E -5.75%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.50%EV -16.05%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -10.51%E -2.73%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-24 19:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -16.77%E -2.92%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 19:30
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -6.58%E -4.39%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -20.39%E -3.71%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.34%E -2.40%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%1.0%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.1%2026-05-24 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-05-24 19:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.28%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 19:30
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%4.7%2026-05-24 19:30