Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Fortaleza

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 19:02 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 1–1 Fortaleza

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 39.37%2.54fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%39.64%39.38%43.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.272.302.4549.02%44.00%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fortaleza (Visit)

Prediction 31.43%3.18fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.960%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.45%31.21%31.48%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.992.943.2537.04%33.43%34.01%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.20%3.43fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.22%29.14%29.13%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.143.103.3037.04%31.83%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 39.37%; Fortaleza (Visit): 31.43%; Draw: 29.20%. For Fortaleza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
betPARX🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -11.02%E -4.88%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +0.589%E +0.184%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -11.02%E -4.88%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +0.589%E +0.184%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:59
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -15.75%E -7.36%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV +0.589%E +0.184%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-21 18:52
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -18.11%E -8.71%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -0.983%E -0.312%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-21 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.01%EV -18.50%E -8.94%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -2.55%E -0.824%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-21 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -18.90%E -9.17%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -2.55%E -0.824%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 18:59
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.33%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -4.24%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 18:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -19.69%E -9.65%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-21 19:00
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -19.69%E -9.65%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-21 18:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -19.69%E -9.65%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-21 18:59
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 18:59
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 18:59
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 18:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -6.96%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 18:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.39%E -6.08%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 19:00
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -4.72%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -7.45%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 18:59
Bovada🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.35%EV -7.87%E -3.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.42%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:58
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.35%EV -7.87%E -3.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.42%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 18:59
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 18:59
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -6.69%E -2.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 18:59
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 18:58
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 19:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-21 18:59
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 19:00
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -21.17%E -7.84%K -12.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-21 19:00
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-21 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-06-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-21 19:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-06-21 19:00