L’École des cotes

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Fortaleza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-21 19:02 UTC

Score final : Clube de Regatas Brasil 1–1 Fortaleza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 39.37%2.54cote équitable
EV -3.54%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.41%39.64%39.38%43.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.042.272.302.4549.02%44.00%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fortaleza (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.43%3.18cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.665%
Kelly +0.960%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.45%31.21%31.48%32.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.992.943.2537.04%33.43%34.01%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.20%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.22%29.14%29.13%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.143.103.3037.04%31.83%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Unibet (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
ATG (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
betPARX2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Svenska Spel2.16I 46.30%NM 43.12%EV -14.96%E -6.93%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV +2.16%E +0.665%K +0.960%G +0.021%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 18:59
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -11.02%E -4.88%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +0.589%E +0.184%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 41.64%EV -11.02%E -4.88%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +0.589%E +0.184%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 18:59
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 42.59%EV -15.75%E -7.36%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV +0.589%E +0.184%K +0.268%G +0.002%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.93%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-21 18:52
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 43.09%EV -18.11%E -8.71%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -0.983%E -0.312%K -0.457%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-21 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.01%EV -18.50%E -8.94%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -2.55%E -0.824%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-21 19:00
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -18.90%E -9.17%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -2.55%E -0.824%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 18:59
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 39.33%EV -3.54%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -3.18%E -1.03%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -4.24%E -1.29%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -19.69%E -9.65%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-21 19:00
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -19.69%E -9.65%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-21 18:59
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -19.69%E -9.65%K -18.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.35%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-21 18:59
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 18:59
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.11%E -1.57%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 18:59
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.70%E -1.90%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-21 18:59
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.76%EV -8.27%E -3.55%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.30%EV -6.96%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 18:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-21 18:59
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.39%E -6.08%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.27%E -2.46%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -6.57%E -2.05%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 19:00
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.62%EV -4.72%E -1.95%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.90%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -7.45%E -2.35%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-21 18:59
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 39.35%EV -7.87%E -3.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.42%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:58
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 39.35%EV -7.87%E -3.37%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.42%EV -7.90%E -2.70%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.23%EV -8.03%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 18:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.72%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.56%EV -8.21%E -2.81%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.65%E -1.11%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 18:59
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.30%E -2.65%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 18:59
Codere (IT)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -6.69%E -2.82%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-21 18:59
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -8.84%E -3.05%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-21 18:58
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 19:00
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.51%E -2.30%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-21 18:59
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-21 18:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.47%E -3.29%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-21 18:59
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -7.48%E -3.18%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.93%EV -10.41%E -3.65%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-21 19:00
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.41%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-21 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -9.45%E -4.11%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -11.98%E -4.28%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -21.17%E -7.84%K -12.45%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-21 19:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.42%E -5.07%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.60%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.49%E -3.06%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-21 18:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%0.3%2026-06-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-21 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-06-21 19:00
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.30%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.88%1.4%2026-06-21 19:00
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.38%1.6%2026-06-21 19:00