Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.52
assuming max odds 6.50
assuming max odds 4.37
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 62.13%; América Mineiro (Visit): 15.64%; Draw: 22.22%. For América Mineiro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.307%G +0.005% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.90%EV -2.88%E -0.659%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.88%EV +0.592%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.15%EV -3.99%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.69%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.69%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.48%EV -11.77%E -8.29%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.43%EV -5.51%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -7.77%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.77%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -3.77%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -6.92%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.00%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -12.21%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -12.21%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.24%EV -12.39%E -8.79%K -30.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.24%EV -12.39%E -8.79%K -30.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.99%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.99%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.44%E -3.75%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.87%E -3.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |