Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.37
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 62.13%; América Mineiro (Visitante): 15.64%; Empate: 22.22%. Para América Mineiro (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.39. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.69%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.307%G +0.005% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.90%EV -2.88%E -0.659%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.43I 15.55%NM 14.88%EV +0.592%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.15%EV -3.99%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.69%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.69%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.48%EV -11.77%E -8.29%K -28.03%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 6.04I 16.56%NM 15.43%EV -5.51%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -7.77%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.77%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -3.77%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-04 11:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -6.92%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.00%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -12.21%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -12.21%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.24%EV -12.39%E -8.79%K -30.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.24%EV -12.39%E -8.79%K -30.23%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-09-04 11:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.99%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.99%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.44%E -3.75%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-04 14:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-04 13:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.87%E -3.40%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-04 14:34 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |