Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v América Mineiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 00:30 UTC

Score final : Clube de Regatas Brasil 3–1 América Mineiro

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 62.13%1.61cote équitable
EV -5.56%
Avantage -3.66%
Kelly -10.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.70%62.08%62.18%63.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.481.491.5270.92%67.70%67.11%65.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

América Mineiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.64%6.39cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.260%
Kelly +0.307%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.54%15.70%15.58%17.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.005.846.006.5020.00%17.13%16.67%15.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.22%4.50cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.659%
Kelly -0.854%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.37%22.22%22.23%23.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.114.104.3725.97%24.36%24.39%22.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local) : 62.13% ; América Mineiro (Visiteur) : 15.64% ; Match nul : 22.22%. Pour América Mineiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.39. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.50, soit une espérance positive de +1.69%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.38%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.72%EV +1.69%E +0.260%K +0.307%G +0.005%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.90%EV -2.88%E -0.659%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:15
BetUS🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.88%EV +0.592%E +0.092%K +0.109%G +0.001%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.15%EV -3.99%E -0.924%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:34
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:35
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.77%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -2.22%E -0.356%K -0.424%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.69%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.69%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.48%EV -11.77%E -8.29%K -28.03%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.54%EV -3.01%E -0.485%K -0.578%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 14:25
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.12%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.04I 16.56%NM 15.43%EV -5.51%E -0.912%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -7.77%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 14:15
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.39%EV -6.18%E -4.09%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:45
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -3.77%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -4.43%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.11%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.43%EV -3.77%E -0.870%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -8.05%E -5.44%K -16.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 13:40
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.04%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-04 14:31
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.67%E -5.90%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 11:34
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 11:55
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -6.13%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.81%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.58%EV -6.92%E -1.16%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.72%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.00%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.39%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -12.21%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.17%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.33%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%EV -12.21%E -3.09%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 11:35
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.99%EV -11.15%E -7.80%K -25.94%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.28%EV -9.26%E -1.60%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 11:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.29%EV -7.42%E -4.98%K -15.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.88%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.24%EV -12.39%E -8.79%K -30.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.24%EV -12.39%E -8.79%K -30.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.26%EV -10.05%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.50%EV -13.32%E -3.42%K -4.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-04 11:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.04%EV -5.56%E -3.66%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:35
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.03%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 14:35
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.99%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 14:34
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.86%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.54%EV -9.99%E -2.47%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 13:44
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -14.44%E -3.75%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 13:44
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -6.66%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:44
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -9.91%E -6.83%K -22.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-04 14:24
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.53%E -7.31%K -23.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -13.96%E -2.54%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 13:44
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -17.87%E -3.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -8.88%E -2.17%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.80%E -4.54%K -13.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -21.78%E -4.36%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.10%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 14:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.48%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%2.3%2026-09-04 14:35