Language:English
Ceará v Cuiabá
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ceará (Local)
Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.83%41.95%41.97%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.162.202.2951.02%46.39%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cuiabá (Visit)
Prediction 25.60%3.91fair odd
EV +10.10%
Edge +2.35%
Kelly +3.06%
Growth +0.309%
assuming max odds 4.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.59%25.60%25.64%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.704.3029.41%26.49%27.03%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.45%3.08fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.60%32.44%32.39%33.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.792.782.9838.46%35.87%35.97%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ceará (Local): 41.94%; Cuiabá (Visit): 25.60%; Draw: 32.45%. For Cuiabá (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59%EV -16.11%E -8.06%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV +4.98%E +1.21%K +1.61%G +0.080% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.48%EV -16.11%E -8.06%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV +4.98%E +1.21%K +1.61%G +0.080% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.82%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.61%EV -17.37%E -8.82%K -17.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV +2.42%E +0.605%K +0.806%G +0.019% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.57%EV -17.79%E -9.08%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV +2.42%E +0.605%K +0.806%G +0.019% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.60%EV -15.63%E -6.01%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.57%EV -17.79%E -9.08%K -18.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV +2.42%E +0.605%K +0.806%G +0.019% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.60%EV -15.63%E -6.01%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -8.56%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -3.47%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 18:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.97%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -4.50%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%EV -3.30%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:52 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.32%EV -8.14%E -3.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -7.84%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -11.92%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.94%EV -9.79%E -3.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.94%EV -9.79%E -3.52%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-15 18:52 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -7.30%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 18:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-15 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 40.83%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.66%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 09:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.92%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.66% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.21% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16% | 1.9% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |