Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ceará v Cuiabá

2026-08-15 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ceará (Local)

Prediction 39.21%2.55fair odd
EV -7.86%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.21%39.21%39.21%39.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.312.352.3544.84%43.32%42.55%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cuiabá (Visit)

Prediction 28.88%3.46fair odd
EV -6.15%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%28.88%28.88%29.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.173.253.2532.79%31.52%30.77%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.92%3.13fair odd
EV -5.85%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.62%31.92%31.92%31.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.952.9536.36%34.76%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ceará (Local): 39.21%; Cuiabá (Visit): 28.88%; Draw: 31.92%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.95, with an expected value of -5.85%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:15
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:15
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.86%E -3.35%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -6.15%E -1.89%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.85%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 22:15
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.21%EV -9.04%E -3.90%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.04%E -2.87%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -9.04%E -3.17%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.22%EV -10.61%E -4.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -10.48%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.94%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.78%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.48%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 21:45
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -11.78%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -11.93%E -3.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -10.63%E -3.80%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.34%EV -12.57%E -5.64%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -11.93%E -3.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.34%EV -12.57%E -5.64%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.76%EV -11.93%E -3.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -12.23%E -4.45%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 21:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.