Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ceará v Cuiabá

Inizio: 2026-08-15 19:00 UTC

Finale: Ceará 1–3 Cuiabá

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ceará (Casa)

Previsione 41.94%2.38quota equa
EV -3.95%
Vantaggio -1.72%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.83%41.95%41.97%44.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.962.162.202.2951.02%46.39%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cuiabá (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.60%3.91quota equa
EV +10.10%
Vantaggio +2.35%
Kelly +3.06%
Crescita +0.309%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.59%25.60%25.64%26.60%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.773.704.3029.41%26.49%27.03%23.26%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 32.45%3.08quota equa
EV -3.30%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.60%32.44%32.39%33.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.602.792.782.9838.46%35.87%35.97%33.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ceará (Casa): 41.94%; Cuiabá (Trasferta): 25.60%; Pareggio: 32.45%. Per Cuiabá (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.91. 12 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.30, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +10.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.64%EV -12.76%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.59%EV +10.10%E +2.35%K +3.06%G +0.309%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.76%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.59%EV -16.11%E -8.06%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%EV +4.98%E +1.21%K +1.61%G +0.080%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.65%EV -14.00%E -5.28%K -8.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-15 18:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.48%EV -16.11%E -8.06%K -16.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV +4.98%E +1.21%K +1.61%G +0.080%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.82%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-15 18:54
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.61%EV -17.37%E -8.82%K -17.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV +2.42%E +0.605%K +0.806%G +0.019%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -14.65%E -5.57%K -8.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-15 18:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.57%EV -17.79%E -9.08%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV +2.42%E +0.605%K +0.806%G +0.019%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.60%EV -15.63%E -6.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-15 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.57%EV -17.79%E -9.08%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV +2.42%E +0.605%K +0.806%G +0.019%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.60%EV -15.63%E -6.01%K -9.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-15 18:55
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.82%EV -8.56%E -3.93%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -3.47%E -0.921%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 18:53
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.98%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:50
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.97%EV -3.95%E -1.72%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -4.50%E -1.21%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.26%EV -3.30%E -1.11%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-15 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.18%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -4.27%E -1.45%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:52
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:44
BetUS🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.06%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.32%EV -8.14%E -3.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.63%EV -7.84%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 18:54
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -11.92%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -5.26%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.63%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 18:44
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -5.89%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:54
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.94%EV -9.79%E -3.52%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:55
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.94%EV -9.79%E -3.52%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 18:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:54
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 18:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.38%E -4.59%K -7.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:50
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:53
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -7.82%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.76%E -3.91%K -6.15%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-15 18:52
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.70%EV -7.30%E -3.30%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -9.10%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.34%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 18:43
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.54%E -2.27%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 18:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -7.51%E -2.64%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.38%E -2.97%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-15 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.83%EV -6.04%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.66%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.66%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 09:53
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -11.92%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.94%E -3.81%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.14%E -3.26%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 18:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.33%0.7%2026-08-15 18:55
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.21%1.1%2026-08-15 18:55
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.31%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.16%1.9%2026-08-15 18:55