A Escola das Odds

Ceará v Athletic Club (MG)

Início: 2026-07-13 23:32 UTC

Final: Ceará 0–0 Athletic Club (MG)

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Ceará (Local)

Previsão 49.24%2.03odd justa
EV -4.47%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -4.76%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.43%49.34%49.42%52.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.861.871.9458.14%53.64%53.48%51.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)

Previsão 20.97%4.77odd justa
EV +2.76%
Vantagem +0.564%
Kelly +0.708%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.42%20.89%20.76%22.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.394.404.9025.00%22.80%22.73%20.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 29.79%3.36odd justa
EV -1.70%
Vantagem -0.515%
Kelly -0.739%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.46%29.77%29.81%31.13%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.103.103.3033.33%32.25%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -15.31%E -8.90%K -21.26%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +2.76%E +0.564%K +0.708%G +0.020%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-13 23:30
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.75%EV +2.13%E +0.438%K +0.551%G +0.012%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-13 23:29
BetUS1.89I 52.91%NM 49.67%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 23:29
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 23:30
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.58%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -1.43%E -0.305%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 23:29
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 23:30
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 23:28
Bovada1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 23:29
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -6.67%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 23:29
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -6.67%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-13 23:29
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:30
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:30
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:29
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:30
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:29
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 23:30
Codere (IT)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 23:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 23:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 23:30
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 23:29
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 23:29
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 23:29
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -4.47%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 23:30
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-13 23:29
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 23:30
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 23:30
Paddy Power1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-13 23:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-13 23:30
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-13 23:29
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 49.63%EV -10.88%E -6.01%K -13.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-13 23:30
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-13 23:29
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.85%E -7.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-13 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.85%E -7.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-13 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 23:29
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 23:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-07-13 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54%0.8%2026-07-13 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-07-13 23:30
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%1.0%2026-07-13 23:30
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-07-13 23:30