L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ceará v Athletic Club (MG)
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ceará (Local)
Prévision 49.24%2.03cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -4.76%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.94
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.43%49.34%49.42%52.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.861.871.9458.14%53.64%53.48%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.97%4.77cote équitable
EV +2.76%
Avantage +0.564%
Kelly +0.708%
Croissance +0.020%
avec la cote maximale 4.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.42%20.89%20.76%22.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.394.404.9025.00%22.80%22.73%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 29.79%3.36cote équitable
EV -1.70%
Avantage -0.515%
Kelly -0.739%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.77%29.81%31.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.103.103.3033.33%32.25%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -15.31%E -8.90%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +2.76%E +0.564%K +0.708%G +0.020% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.75%EV +2.13%E +0.438%K +0.551%G +0.012% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.67%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.58%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -1.43%E -0.305%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 23:28 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -6.67%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -6.67%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -4.47%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.63%EV -10.88%E -6.01%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.85%E -7.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.85%E -7.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |