La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ceará v Athletic Club (MG)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ceará (Local)
Predicción 49.24%2.03momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -4.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.43%49.34%49.42%52.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.861.871.9458.14%53.64%53.48%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)
Predicción 20.97%4.77momio equitativo
EV +2.76%
Ventaja +0.564%
Kelly +0.708%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.42%20.89%20.76%22.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.394.404.9025.00%22.80%22.73%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.79%3.36momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.515%
Kelly -0.739%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.77%29.81%31.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.103.103.3033.33%32.25%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.47%EV -15.31%E -8.90%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.42%EV +2.76%E +0.564%K +0.708%G +0.020% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.82%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.75%EV +2.13%E +0.438%K +0.551%G +0.012% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.43%EV -5.87%E -1.86%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| BetUS | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.67%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.56%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.41%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +0.666%E +0.139%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.58%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -1.43%E -0.305%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.52%EV -5.57%E -1.76%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.14%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -7.43%E -3.95%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-13 23:28 |
| Bovada | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.63%E -1.25%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -6.67%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.69%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -6.67%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| betPARX | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.99%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -3.19%E -0.981%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -8.91%E -4.81%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -7.72%E -1.76%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.27%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.51%EV -4.97%E -2.57%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.17%E -1.96%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.15%EV -4.47%E -2.31%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.82%E -2.28%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -1.70%E -0.515%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -4.68%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -7.92%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.63%EV -10.88%E -6.01%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -11.92%E -2.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.08%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.42%EV -11.86%E -6.63%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.58%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.00%EV -9.15%E -3.00%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.85%E -7.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.46%EV -12.85%E -7.26%K -16.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.35%EV -14.01%E -3.42%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.18%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -5.95%E -3.12%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.66%E -2.47%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -16.11%E -4.03%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -10.64%E -3.55%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-13 23:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.54% | 0.8% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 1.0% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 1.3% | 2026-07-13 23:30 |