Oddsskolan

Botafogo v Nautico PE

Matchstart: 2026-05-02 19:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Botafogo 1–1 Nautico PE

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

37 spelbolag (13 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Botafogo (Hemma)

Prognos 40.34%2.48rättvist odds
EV -3.19%
Fördel -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.23%40.33%40.28%41.37%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.182.272.282.4045.87%43.96%43.86%41.67%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Nautico PE (Borta)

Prognos 28.67%3.49rättvist odds
EV +0.335%
Fördel +0.096%
Kelly +0.134%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.85%28.59%28.72%30.00%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.89%30.77%28.57%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.00%3.23rättvist odds
EV -3.91%
Fördel -1.26%
Kelly -1.86%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.00%31.07%30.99%32.63%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.59%33.33%32.26%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (37 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:20
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:19
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -2.25%E -0.658%K -0.932%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.66%EV -5.77%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-02 18:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:49
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.63%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 18:05
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 17:25
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:40
Bovada2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:06
BetUS2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:10
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:20
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 17:20
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:20
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 17:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 18:40
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 18:40
Codere (IT)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 18:40
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 18:40
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 18:40
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 18:05
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 18:09
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-02 17:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-02 18:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.31%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-02 17:25
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-05-02 18:55