مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Botafogo v Nautico PE
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Botafogo (المضيف)
التنبؤ 40.34%2.48السعر العادل
EV -3.19%
الأفضلية -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.23%40.33%40.28%41.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.182.272.282.4045.87%43.96%43.86%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Nautico PE (الضيف)
التنبؤ 28.67%3.49السعر العادل
EV +0.335%
الأفضلية +0.096%
Kelly +0.134%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.85%28.59%28.72%30.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.89%30.77%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 31.00%3.23السعر العادل
EV -3.91%
الأفضلية -1.26%
Kelly -1.86%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.00%31.07%30.99%32.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.59%33.33%32.26%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (37 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -2.25%E -0.658%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.66%EV -5.77%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.63%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:06 |
| BetUS | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.31%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (3)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |