A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Botafogo v Nautico PE
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Botafogo (Local)
Previsão 40.34%2.48odd justa
EV -3.19%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.23%40.33%40.28%41.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.182.272.282.4045.87%43.96%43.86%41.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Nautico PE (Visitante)
Previsão 28.67%3.49odd justa
EV +0.335%
Vantagem +0.096%
Kelly +0.134%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.85%28.59%28.72%30.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.243.253.5033.33%30.89%30.77%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 31.00%3.23odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.00%31.07%30.99%32.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.702.983.003.1037.04%33.59%33.33%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV +0.335%E +0.096%K +0.134%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 17:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.11%EV -3.19%E -1.33%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.23%EV -2.25%E -0.658%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.66%EV -5.77%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -5.21%E -2.22%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 18:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.21%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.91%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.40%E -1.64%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.47%EV -7.63%E -3.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.43%EV -6.55%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.63%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.37%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -5.46%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:06 |
| BetUS | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.88%EV -6.82%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.77%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-02 18:10 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.83%E -2.10%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.73%E -3.73%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.98%EV -10.05%E -4.51%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.46%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.27%E -2.58%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -8.03%E -3.52%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-02 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.13%EV -12.07%E -5.53%K -10.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -9.70%E -3.08%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.40%EV -8.56%E -2.90%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-02 18:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -7.22%E -3.14%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -11.66%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-02 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -11.13%E -3.59%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.11%E -3.49%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.24%E -4.11%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.01%E -2.34%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-02 18:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.26%E -5.12%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -14.00%E -4.67%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -16.31%E -6.04%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (3)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 18:55 |